Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes for Materials Informatics
Probability theory and stochastic processes are the mathematical foundations for uncertainty quantification, process control, and data analysis in materials science. This series covers from the basics of probability variables and distributions to the law of large numbers, central limit theorem, Markov processes, Poisson processes, and stochastic differential equations (SDE), learning theory and Python implementation in pairs. Practical applications including uncertainty modeling in materials processes, quality control, failure prediction, and time series data analysis are also covered.
Basic knowledge of calculus (integration, basic differential equations) is sufficient. Understanding of basic Python usage is desirable. Knowledge of linear algebra (matrix operations) will enable deeper understanding.
Learn about discrete and continuous random variables, probability mass functions (PMF) and probability density functions (PDF), expectation, variance, and moments, and representative distributions (binomial distribution, Poisson distribution, normal distribution, exponential distribution).
Learn the weak and strong law of large numbers, proof and applications of the central limit theorem, and sample distribution theory, and verify them through simulation. Applications to materials science data are also covered.
Learn the basics of Markov chains, transition probability matrices, stationary distributions, continuous-time Markov processes, and properties of Poisson processes. Applications to process engineering (failure modeling) are also implemented.
Learn Brownian motion and Wiener processes, basics of stochastic differential equations (SDE), ItΓ΄ integral, geometric Brownian motion, and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, and implement numerical solutions using the Euler-Maruyama method.
Learn stochastic process modeling, time series data analysis (ARMA/ARIMA), quality control and control charts, uncertainty in process optimization, Kalman filter, and failure prediction and maintenance planning.
Upon completing this series, you will achieve:
For more advanced study in this field:
Expand your knowledge with related topics:
Apply your skills to hands-on projects: